Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 2229.763339 2416.066097 2604.078143 2807.728642 3021.788589 3239.825800 3478.400820
2025-06-22 1920.356974 2199.187832 2490.617197 2816.741395 3170.321019 3540.944064 3957.650087
2025-06-29 1711.366377 2044.345405 2401.652094 2811.114132 3264.922211 3750.144030 4305.826561
2025-07-06 1504.459135 1868.335465 2268.240269 2736.283498 3265.023562 3840.009001 4508.712360
2025-07-13 1434.354729 1836.789413 2287.407697 2823.396993 3437.670867 4114.104065 4909.705557
2025-07-20 1351.135137 1782.025279 2273.159726 2866.247165 3555.045410 4322.264224 5233.855465
2025-07-27 1260.903065 1712.023959 2235.208568 2876.241673 3630.142973 4478.907046 5496.919102
2025-08-03 1173.365512 1639.311506 2188.889610 2871.707116 3684.366960 4608.492156 5726.604989
2025-08-10 1105.359550 1586.098475 2162.067871 2886.841478 3758.755489 4759.174908 5978.988142
2025-08-17 1029.525310 1518.625028 2114.080774 2873.071967 3796.001874 4864.370251 6176.948498
2025-08-24 979.251555 1480.689780 2099.936210 2898.213636 3878.005518 5020.870446 6434.099760
2025-08-31 913.955102 1419.726515 2054.014986 2881.580773 3907.355238 5113.426734 6614.882262
2025-09-07 884.998486 1406.074451 2067.950058 2940.060545 4029.701662 5319.105260 6932.959003
2025-09-14 837.071126 1364.631984 2044.515716 2950.305399 4092.093465 5452.787991 7165.939947
2025-09-21 786.157110 1316.391994 2009.986891 2944.486008 4133.019100 5559.462407 7365.938796
2025-09-28 710.798079 1230.235641 1922.221135 2867.283462 4082.121842 5552.380213 7427.204856
2025-10-05 704.360398 1241.237632 1963.534914 2957.156442 4241.625876 5802.992399 7801.158954
2025-10-12 681.564070 1227.381931 1970.410392 3001.353575 4342.931461 5982.120602 8088.686167
2025-10-19 648.086592 1196.219724 1952.388444 3011.661288 4400.266788 6106.548653 8309.429278
2025-10-26 611.535380 1158.652276 1924.049580 3006.984673 4437.403581 6205.290790 8498.417151
2025-11-02 583.975720 1133.266461 1911.536946 3022.592871 4500.103717 6335.606620 8726.289948
2025-11-09 548.470800 1093.890882 1877.883624 3008.392290 4523.097156 6415.519425 8891.549977
2025-11-16 527.488726 1076.144791 1874.166609 3034.320532 4598.177669 6560.919256 9138.270613